Blog: The Market's Not Fragile Like a Flower, but Fragile Like a Bomb. Risks are piling up while financial leverage increases.
Blog: Will Inflation Come Back for One Last Scare? The Aborted Landing Scenario rises from its economic grave.
Blog: El Nino and Commodities Revisited With the devastating impact of Hurricane Helene on the Southeastern US, and the transition from El Nino back to La Nina taking place, I thought it might be a good time to revisit the work I published in a Newsletter last year. In the newsletter I came up with a
Blog: I See Market Risk Arising, But trouble's not on the way, yet. Downside risks are building, but not yet critical.
Blog: Imagine Monetary Policy Implemented by Politicians Would they have the guts to crash the economic party?
Blog: Did August Market Volatility Mean Anything? Was it "full of sound and fury, signifying nothing" or "Something wicked this way comes?"