Blog: The Government Shutdown and Market Models

For FMCR there isn't a problem. But that may not be true for everybody.

Blog: AI Spending and Bubbles

Another characteristic for the Stock Market Bubble Checklist. But it's not new.

Blog: Welcome to the "Pavlov's Dog" Market

Markets are conditioned to buy the rate cut, but is that a good idea?

Blog: Unintended Consequences of Cutting Rates

The pressure to cut rates for the wrong reasons can lead to undesirable results.

Blog: The Fed Changes Strategy

Powell talks about more than rate cuts.

Blog: Stock and Bond Markets send Conflicting Signals

But for stocks it's likely a short-term reprieve.

Flash Report: MUSI shifts to Transition

Positive risk sentiment offsets negative fundamentals, for now.

Blog: The Action/Reaction Myth and Markets

The waiting is the hardest part. -Tom Petty

Blog: Uncertainty + Tariffs = Stagflation?

Inflation or employment. Which path will the Fed take?