Blog: The Yen and the Fractal Nature of Currencies

Currencies are different than stocks and bonds, though all are fractal.

Blog: Military Spending and Inflation

Military spending can distort GDP and create inflation.

Blog: Warsh Whiffs his Second Time At Bat

We live in times that are both interesting and boring.

Blog: AI and Tariffs and War. Oh my!

The bond market is expecting to find something worse than a cowardly lion.

Blog: Oil Price Complacency May Soon be Tested

The mechanism for stabilizing oil is not sustainable.

Blog: Is Emerging Market Risk Different From the Others?

EM may be a better reflection of AI Bubble risks.

Blog: Bubbles and Propaganda

Deception is involved in both cases.

Blog: The Age of Ambiguity

So much information. So little meaning.

Blog: The Law of Unintended Consequences, Complexity and Markets

Overconfidence in a complex environment can lead decision makers and investors astray.