Blog: Picking a Winner
Market lessons from Paul the Octopus.
Topic
cycle analysis
A collection of 30 issues
Blog: Will the Fed pull off a 1994 in 2024?
Soft landing is becoming a possibility much to my surprise.
Blog - Leverage is Increasing: Is that a good thing, or a bad thing?
A couple of weeks ago I mentioned that leverage is rising. Many people think leverage, which is going into debt, is always bad. Others feel the opposite. The fact that most people in the middle class borrow at least 80% of the value of their homes to buy them is
Blog: Will the Fed Care if Inflation is Sticky?
Depends on how you measure inflation.
Blog: Is the AI Bubble here? Looking at the Bubble Checklist
Bubble talk is premature. But we're getting there.
Newsletter: Crossing the Threshold - Classifying the Market State
Turning time series into classifiers using ROC analysis.
Blog: Why I'm no longer a "Quant."
Hi. I'm Ed. I used to be a quant.
A recent article in Bloomberg quoted David Einhorn, a prominent hedge fund manager, as saying that the markets were "fundamentally broken" because of "passive investors and quants." To quote Bloomberg, "Einhorn said that quants
Blog: Are "Real" Rates High?
The moderate inflation regime justifies a higher real rate.
Blog: Is the Stock/Bond Relationship Broke? Nope, but it's changed.
Bonds are still a diversifier.
Newsletter: On Non-Periodic Cycles for Market Analysis
Detecting and measuring non-periodic cycles is crucial.