Blog: High Macro, but Low Market Uncertainty?
Positive near term sentiment is offset by less positive long term fundamentals.
Topic
Economy
A collection of 81 issues
Blog: Inflation, "The Man Who Came to Dinner."
Inflation and high interest rates will not be going away.
Blog: Bitcoin Creates a New Type of Moral Hazard
A national "reserve" of an unregulated asset seems unlikely.
Flash Report: Market Uncertainty shifts to Neutral
Blog: Disruption, Speculation and Money
Is crypto like a banana taped to the wall?
Blog: Brief Market Uncertainty Update
Feeling under the weather, so I'm going to make this post brief.
Despite the drop in raw implied volatilities and the rise in interest rates. The Market Uncertainty State Indicator (MUSI) remains at the Fragile reading. Aside from equity uncertainty:
Blog: The Fed Model says the market's overvalued. So what?
An overvalued market isn't enough for a Fragile market.
Blog: The Market's Not Fragile Like a Flower, but Fragile Like a Bomb.
Risks are piling up while financial leverage increases.
China's Minsky Moment Risks are Increasing
Is this a Global Financial Crisis 2 in the making?
Blog: Will Inflation Come Back for One Last Scare?
The Aborted Landing Scenario rises from its economic grave.