Blog: Trade Wars-Transitory, or Hubris?
Uncomfortable parallels between the current Trade War and 1914.
Topic
Financial Instability
A collection of 55 issues
Blog: Tariffs as Exogenous Shocks
When the unexpected is expected, is it still exogenous?
Blog: The Goalie's Dilemma (2)
Increasing uncertainty can reduce risk.
Blog: Risk and Uncertainty as Doppelgangers
Risk and its evil twin, Uncertainty
Blog: Brief Market Uncertainty Update
Feeling under the weather, so I'm going to make this post brief.
Despite the drop in raw implied volatilities and the rise in interest rates. The Market Uncertainty State Indicator (MUSI) remains at the Fragile reading. Aside from equity uncertainty:
Blog: Bitcoin Post Election Analysis
It's still not investing.
Blog: The Fed Model says the market's overvalued. So what?
An overvalued market isn't enough for a Fragile market.
Blog: The Market's Not Fragile Like a Flower, but Fragile Like a Bomb.
Risks are piling up while financial leverage increases.
China's Minsky Moment Risks are Increasing
Is this a Global Financial Crisis 2 in the making?
Flash Report: MUSI signals Fragile Markets
Turmoil in the Middle East have increased downside market risk.