Blog: Monetary Inflation May be Waking Up As supply side inflation falls, monetary inflation may be rising.
Blog: Glass half-empty/full paradox comes to the markets It's not how the market glass looks, but how it got there that matters.
Blog: Is the Fed "Waiting for Godot?" "Nothing happens, nobody comes, nobody goes. Its awful!" -Estragon
Blog: China's Minsky Moment? Would a Minsky Moment in China spread to the rest of the world making Global Financial Crisis 2, or would it remain local?
Blog: Central Banks and "The Logic of Failure." Studies of complex decision making may help us understand future monetary policy.
Blog: Recognition for Dr. Harry Markowitz - the Founder of Quantitative Finance. Harry Markowitz was not just the father of Modern Portfolio Theory.
Blog: Yet another "new normal" for inflation and interest rates? The stock and bond markets have spoken. We are now in a persistent environment of 4% to 5% inflation and corresponding interest rates. While the phrase “new normal” has roots back to World War I and has been used by people as disparate as market guru, Mohammed El-Erian and science
Newsletter: Fuzzy Sets and AI - Measuring Market Uncertainty As complexity rises, precise statements lose meaning and meaningful statements lose precision. - The Law of Incompatibility, Lofti Zadeh In this month’s newsletter, I’m discussing the use of fuzzy set principals embedded in the Market Climatology model. Fuzzy sets are a sub-set of artificial intelligence (AI) that mimics