Blog: Beginning of the End, or End of the Beginning? Stagflation seems likely. The question is whether it's strong or weak.
Blog: Free Markets Need Uncertainty Free Market uncertainty creates long-term opportunity and short-term risk.
The Fractal Market Hypothesis and Gambling - MUSI Shifts to Fragile If the line blurs between investing and gambling, bad things can happen.
Blog: Welcome to the "Pavlov's Dog" Market Markets are conditioned to buy the rate cut, but is that a good idea?
Blog: Predictability, Chaos and Complexity in Markets The Nature of Uncertainty Changes over the Market Cycle.
Blog: Why Are US Treasuries No Longer "Safe?" Maybe bonds are acting like high inflation is already here.
Blog: Tariffs, Reciprocal In Name Only, Make Markets Fragile Downside risk is larger than upside opportunities.