Blog: High Macro, but Low Market Uncertainty? Positive near term sentiment is offset by less positive long term fundamentals.
Blog: Inflation, "The Man Who Came to Dinner." Inflation and high interest rates will not be going away.
Blog: Brief Market Uncertainty Update Feeling under the weather, so I'm going to make this post brief. Despite the drop in raw implied volatilities and the rise in interest rates. The Market Uncertainty State Indicator (MUSI) remains at the Fragile reading. Aside from equity uncertainty:
Blog: The Market's Not Fragile Like a Flower, but Fragile Like a Bomb. Risks are piling up while financial leverage increases.
Blog: Will Inflation Come Back for One Last Scare? The Aborted Landing Scenario rises from its economic grave.
Blog: I See Market Risk Arising, But trouble's not on the way, yet. Downside risks are building, but not yet critical.
Blog: Imagine Monetary Policy Implemented by Politicians Would they have the guts to crash the economic party?