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Inflation

A collection of 84 issues

Blog: Some Good News on the Inflation Front

I often feel like I'm Doctor Doom these days. So I'm happy to report some good news. You probably noticed that while most analysts have credited the Fed rate hikes with bringing down inflation, I haven't been convinced that's the case. The

Blog: Macro Changes This Way Come

Indicators are turning, signaling difficult times ahead.

Blog: Inflation glide path - Linear or Non-linear?

When it comes to inflation, investors are using "two dimensional thinking"

Blog: Is the Yield Curve un-inverting or steepening? What would George Carlin say?

Whichever you prefer, its not good news.

Blog: Glass half-empty/full paradox comes to the markets

It's not how the market glass looks, but how it got there that matters.

Blog: The Murphy's Law Approach to risk management

The expert knows more and more about less and less until he knows everything about nothing. -Mahatma Gandhi

Blog: When good news is bad news

When good news is bad news, the market is priced for perfection. Market conditions have turned Fragile.

Blog: Implied Vols may be losing their power

In the Market Uncertainty State Indicator (MUSI), I use implied volatility indices to measure equity risk, and an additional one for liquidity risk. They are the S&P VIX, the EuroStoxx VSTOXX, and the Oil OVX. For liquidity I combine these with the MOVE index, a measure of US

Blog: Is the Fed "Waiting for Godot?"

"Nothing happens, nobody comes, nobody goes. Its awful!" -Estragon