Blog: Elections and the Fractal Market Hypothesis Long-term investment horizons will likely become short-term this week.
Blog: The Fed Model says the market's overvalued. So what? An overvalued market isn't enough for a Fragile market.
Blog: The Market's Not Fragile Like a Flower, but Fragile Like a Bomb. Risks are piling up while financial leverage increases.
Blog: Will Inflation Come Back for One Last Scare? The Aborted Landing Scenario rises from its economic grave.
Flash Report: MUSI signals Fragile Markets Turmoil in the Middle East have increased downside market risk.
Blog: El Nino and Commodities Revisited With the devastating impact of Hurricane Helene on the Southeastern US, and the transition from El Nino back to La Nina taking place, I thought it might be a good time to revisit the work I published in a Newsletter last year. In the newsletter I came up with a
Blog: I See Market Risk Arising, But trouble's not on the way, yet. Downside risks are building, but not yet critical.
Flash Report: Market State Uncertainty Indicator (MUSI) shifts from Resilient to Transition Interest Rate Risk and Global Business Conditions are now negative.