Blog: Picking a Winner
Market lessons from Paul the Octopus.
Topic
Market Uncertainty
A collection of 96 issues
Blog - Leverage is Increasing: Is that a good thing, or a bad thing?
A couple of weeks ago I mentioned that leverage is rising. Many people think leverage, which is going into debt, is always bad. Others feel the opposite. The fact that most people in the middle class borrow at least 80% of the value of their homes to buy them is
Blog: Will the Fed Care if Inflation is Sticky?
Depends on how you measure inflation.
Blog: Can China Make the Phase Transition to Complexity?
Will Chinese government allow their economy to develop an invisible hand?
Blog: Is the AI Bubble here? Looking at the Bubble Checklist
Bubble talk is premature. But we're getting there.
Newsletter: Crossing the Threshold - Classifying the Market State
Turning time series into classifiers using ROC analysis.
Blog: Why I'm no longer a "Quant."
Hi. I'm Ed. I used to be a quant.
A recent article in Bloomberg quoted David Einhorn, a prominent hedge fund manager, as saying that the markets were "fundamentally broken" because of "passive investors and quants." To quote Bloomberg, "Einhorn said that quants
Blog: Did the Market Groundhog see it's Shadow in the Jobs Numbers?
The bond market says yes. The stock market says no.
Blog: Bitcoin - Value vs. Utility, or, "Is Bitcoin Useful?"
Bitcoin. What is it good for?
Blog: The Goalie's Dilemma-Increasing Uncertainty to Reduce Risk
When risk and uncertainty are not synonymous.