Blog: Disruption, Speculation and Money
Is crypto like a banana taped to the wall?
Topic
Market Uncertainty
A collection of 127 issues
Blog: Brief Market Uncertainty Update
Feeling under the weather, so I'm going to make this post brief.
Despite the drop in raw implied volatilities and the rise in interest rates. The Market Uncertainty State Indicator (MUSI) remains at the Fragile reading. Aside from equity uncertainty:
Blog: Bitcoin Post Election Analysis
It's still not investing.
Blog: Elections and the Fractal Market Hypothesis
Long-term investment horizons will likely become short-term this week.
Blog: The Fed Model says the market's overvalued. So what?
An overvalued market isn't enough for a Fragile market.
Blog: The Market's Not Fragile Like a Flower, but Fragile Like a Bomb.
Risks are piling up while financial leverage increases.
China's Minsky Moment Risks are Increasing
Is this a Global Financial Crisis 2 in the making?
Blog: Will Inflation Come Back for One Last Scare?
The Aborted Landing Scenario rises from its economic grave.
Flash Report: MUSI signals Fragile Markets
Turmoil in the Middle East have increased downside market risk.
Blog: El Nino and Commodities Revisited
With the devastating impact of Hurricane Helene on the Southeastern US, and the transition from El Nino back to La Nina taking place, I thought it might be a good time to revisit the work I published in a Newsletter last year. In the newsletter I came up with a