Blog: Elections and the Fractal Market Hypothesis Long-term investment horizons will likely become short-term this week.
Blog: The Fed Model says the market's overvalued. So what? An overvalued market isn't enough for a Fragile market.
Blog: The Market's Not Fragile Like a Flower, but Fragile Like a Bomb. Risks are piling up while financial leverage increases.
Flash Report: MUSI signals Fragile Markets Turmoil in the Middle East have increased downside market risk.
Blog: El Nino and Commodities Revisited With the devastating impact of Hurricane Helene on the Southeastern US, and the transition from El Nino back to La Nina taking place, I thought it might be a good time to revisit the work I published in a Newsletter last year. In the newsletter I came up with a
Flash Report: Market State Uncertainty Indicator (MUSI) shifts from Resilient to Transition Interest Rate Risk and Global Business Conditions are now negative.
Blog: Imagine Monetary Policy Implemented by Politicians Would they have the guts to crash the economic party?