Blog: The Government Shutdown and Market Models
For FMCR there isn't a problem. But that may not be true for everybody.
Topic
Markets
A collection of 111 issues
Blog: Unintended Consequences of Cutting Rates
The pressure to cut rates for the wrong reasons can lead to undesirable results.
Blog: The Fed Changes Strategy
Powell talks about more than rate cuts.
Flash Report: MUSI shifts to Transition
Positive risk sentiment offsets negative fundamentals, for now.
Blog: The Action/Reaction Myth and Markets
The waiting is the hardest part. -Tom Petty
Blog: AI Bubble - Are we there yet?
Bubble conditions are here. But risk sentiment is positive.
Blog: Inflation's Rashomon Effect
Tariff inflation is in the eye of the beholder.
Blog: Complacency, Acquiescence and Low Uncertainty
Low risk may not mean low uncertainty.
Blog: The Yield Curve Signals More Uncertainty
Bond yields and Macro expectations.
Blog: Transitory Inflation, Permanent Rise in Price
The meaning behind words/jargon matter.