China's Minsky Moment Risks are Increasing
Is this a Global Financial Crisis 2 in the making?
Topic
Markets
A collection of 91 issues
Flash Report: MUSI signals Fragile Markets
Turmoil in the Middle East have increased downside market risk.
Blog: El Nino and Commodities Revisited
With the devastating impact of Hurricane Helene on the Southeastern US, and the transition from El Nino back to La Nina taking place, I thought it might be a good time to revisit the work I published in a Newsletter last year. In the newsletter I came up with a
Blog: Fed Signals "All Clear," But for Markets?
Is a large Fed cut good news?
Flash Report: Market State Uncertainty Indicator (MUSI) shifts from Resilient to Transition
Interest Rate Risk and Global Business Conditions are now negative.
Blog: Imagine Monetary Policy Implemented by Politicians
Would they have the guts to crash the economic party?
Blog: Inflation is in the Eye of the Beholder
Don't forget "alternative" measures of inflation.
Blog: Did August Market Volatility Mean Anything?
Was it "full of sound and fury, signifying nothing" or "Something wicked this way comes?"
Blog: Fuzzy Sets and the "Probability" of Fed Rate Cuts
Traders are unconsciously using fuzzy sets.
Blog: Markets and Politics
The statement "This time things are different" is equally dangerous to markets and politics.