Blog: Reflation Expectations on the Rise
Tariff uncertainty raises inflation expectations.
Topic
Model Portfolio
A collection of 18 issues
Blog: Brief Market Uncertainty Update
Feeling under the weather, so I'm going to make this post brief.
Despite the drop in raw implied volatilities and the rise in interest rates. The Market Uncertainty State Indicator (MUSI) remains at the Fragile reading. Aside from equity uncertainty:
Flash Report: MUSI signals Fragile Markets
Turmoil in the Middle East have increased downside market risk.
Flash Report: Market State Uncertainty Indicator (MUSI) shifts from Resilient to Transition
Interest Rate Risk and Global Business Conditions are now negative.
Blog: Inflation is in the Eye of the Beholder
Don't forget "alternative" measures of inflation.
Blog: Where are we in the Market Cycle?
Things look pretty good.
Inflation - What's different this time. Part 3.
Milton Friedman was wrong. At least this time.
Blog: Yield Curve Calls for Warp Speed
Interest rate risk signals full speed ahead.
Blog: Yet Another "New Normal"
The markets expect stability.
Blog: Healthcare and Sticky Inflation
Rising healthcare costs are making the Fed's job harder.