AI

Blog: Reflation Expectations Rise

Dormant for a few months, inflation expectations are coming back to life.

Blog: The Age of Ambiguity

So much information. So little meaning.

Blog: The Law of Unintended Consequences, Complexity and Markets

Overconfidence in a complex environment can lead decision makers and investors astray.

Blog: Which Type of Inflation Are We Facing?

Rate hikes may not curb today's inflation.

Blog: Will Mega-IPOs Create AI Warp Speed or a Black Hole?

Concentration risk plagues the S&P 500.

Blog: The AI Trade Ignores Macro Risk

AI speculators ignore macro risk at their peril.

Blog: Are the Markets Underreacting to "the biggest energy shock in history?"

Markets are feeling optimistic, despite a wounded energy economy.

Blog: Is This the End of the AI/Crypto/Gold Bubble?

Maybe, but Maybe not.

Blog: Happy New Year, But Don't Get Cocky.

My non-predictions for 2026.

Blog: AI and the Coming White Collar Recession

A recession will give many firms the opportunity to replace highly paid and "protected" workers with AI.