Blog: The AI Trade Ignores Macro Risk
AI speculators ignore macro risk at their peril.
Topic
AI
A collection of 10 issues
Blog: Are the Markets Underreacting to "the biggest energy shock in history?"
Markets are feeling optimistic, despite a wounded energy economy.
Blog: Is This the End of the AI/Crypto/Gold Bubble?
Maybe, but Maybe not.
Blog: Happy New Year, But Don't Get Cocky.
My non-predictions for 2026.
Blog: AI and the Coming White Collar Recession
A recession will give many firms the opportunity to replace highly paid and "protected" workers with AI.
Blog: AI Spending and Bubbles
Another characteristic for the Stock Market Bubble Checklist. But it's not new.
Blog: Fuzzy Sets and the "Probability" of Fed Rate Cuts
Traders are unconsciously using fuzzy sets.
Newsletter: Choosing Binary Classification Factors
Using the on-off switch for market risks.
Blog: The VIX-One of these things is not like the others . . .
The VIX diverges from fundamental risks, for now.
Newsletter: Fuzzy Sets and AI - Measuring Market Uncertainty
As complexity rises, precise statements lose meaning and meaningful statements lose precision. - The Law of Incompatibility, Lofti Zadeh
In this month’s newsletter, I’m discussing the use of fuzzy set principals embedded in the Market Climatology model. Fuzzy sets are a sub-set of artificial intelligence (AI) that mimics