More issues
Blog: The VIX-One of these things is not like the others . . .
The VIX diverges from fundamental risks, for now.
Newsletter: Fuzzy Sets and AI - Measuring Market Uncertainty
As complexity rises, precise statements lose meaning and meaningful statements lose precision. - The Law of Incompatibility, Lofti Zadeh
In this month’s newsletter, I’m discussing the use of fuzzy set principals embedded in the Market Climatology model. Fuzzy sets are a sub-set of artificial intelligence (AI) that mimics
Blog: Complacency - What doesn't kill inflation gets ignored.
Entrenched inflation expectations are what the Fed's trying to kill. So far, no luck.
Announcement: Model Asset Allocation Portfolios now available
Blog: The VIX thinks the Fed genie will grant the market's wish.
Across the globe investors are hoping the Fed genie will keep everyone safe. But I, for one, am not betting on it.
Blog: This year's Debt Limit Crisis is different, to markets.
Will this debt limit crisis lead to a bout of "creative destruction" in the Austrian economics sense?
Blog: An El Nino level regime change for the markets?
In the Market Climatology section of the Hypertext Book, I use the El Nino Southern Oscillator (ENSO) as an example of a climate level regime change. It appears that ENSO is undergoing such a regime change, from La Nina, which just ended, to El Nino, which will probably start in
Newsletter: Murphy's Law Meets Hyman Minsky
As Gilda Radner said, "It's always something."
Blog: The Debt Limit-The end of trust and the “risk-free” rate?
Trust is what's at stake with the debt limit.